Variants of verbal uncertainty.

Juanchich, Marie, Teigen, Karl Halvor and Gourdon, Amelie (2010) Variants of verbal uncertainty. In: Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM) 31st Annual Conference; 20-22 Nov 2010, Saint Louis, Missouri, U.S..

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Abstract

We suggest that speakers can communicate the source of their uncertainty by framing their prediction with either a personal mode �I am uncertain that the team will win� or with an impersonal mode �It is uncertain that the team will win�. We studied the effect of such mode on how recipients judge the prediction. We found that participants judged impersonal prediction more informative, and more based on statistical information than personal prediction. In addition participants were more willing to bet according to impersonal prediction. Findings support the existence of variants of uncertainty and that uncertain claims convey more than a probability.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Event Title: Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM) 31st Annual Conference
Organising Body: Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM)
Research Area: Psychology
Communication, cultural and media studies
Faculty, School or Research Centre: Faculty of Business and Law
Faculty of Business and Law > Kingston Business School (Leadership, HRM and Organisation) (until July 2013)
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Depositing User: Marie Juanchich
Date Deposited: 15 Nov 2010 11:35
Last Modified: 09 Apr 2013 08:40
URI: http://eprints.kingston.ac.uk/id/eprint/17155

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